The main measure of Jersey’s population is provided by the census, however between censuses annual estimates of the population are produced. These estimates take the census population figure as a baseline and then use administrative data as well as census information on migration patterns of people into and out of the Island to estimate the change in the population each year.
The population estimates for the period 2000 to 2011 are based on up-to-date information gathered from the 2011 Jersey census.
Download population estimate figures from 2000 to 2011 (size 26kb)
2011 population estimate
Jersey's resident population at the end of 2011 was estimated as 98,000.
During calendar year 2011:
- the resident population increased by 900 people
- net inward migration accounted for 600 of this latest annual increase
- natural growth (the excess of births over deaths) accounted for the remaining 300
The 2011 population update report also includes information on population changes in Jersey since 2000.
2011 population update report
Find out more about the census
The Jersey population model
The Jersey population model enables projections of the level and structure of the Island’s resident population to be studied under different assumptions relating to future rates of fertility, mortality and net migration.
The Jersey population model uses the 2011 census as a baseline, as well as recent trends in fertility, mortality and migration.
The population model has been used to produce a series of population projections which are outlined in the population projection report. The report presents a variety of future scenarios of migration patterns and explores how the differing scenarios would affect the size and structure of Jersey’s population over the short, medium and long-term.
Jersey population projection report 2012