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Government of

Information and public services for the Island of Jersey

L'înformâtion et les sèrvices publyis pouor I'Île dé Jèrri

Future housing needs

​​The report on Jersey's future housing needs provides estimates of Jersey's potential housing requirements for the three-year period 2023 to 2025. It gives a detailed picture of supply and demand based on household's intentions in mid-2022.

The information was collected through a set of questions included in the 2022 round of the Jersey Opinons and Lifestyle Survey.

Key find​ings

Based on the intentions of households (before applying affordability criteria) over the three-year period 2023 to 2025:

  • before the supply of new dwellings,  there is an overall anticipated shortfall of 610 dwelling units
  • there is a potential shortfall of around 910 units in the owner-occupier sector; in particular, there is a large potential shortfall of 2-bedroom properties in this sector
  • under the baseline scenario of +700 net migration, there is a potential shortfall of around 220 units of registered accommodation; in particular, there is a potential shortfall of 1-bedroom properties in this sector

Three year housing surplus and shortfalls by tenure and size of dwelling 2023 to 2025

Source: Statistics Jersey, download the chart data

In respect of net migration

  • the potential surpluses and shortfalls in the qualified tenures of accommodation are impacted less by the level of net inward migration during the next three years, than registered accommodation
  • a level of net inward migration of around +500 people per year results in a balanced supply and demand of registered accommodation over the next three years
  • a level of net inward migration of around +1,000 people per year results in a potential shortfall of almost 550 registered accommodation units over the next three years
  • there was an increase in the proportion of the respondents intending to move outside Jersey compared to the previous survey (from 13% in 2018, to 34% in 2022)

Latest report

The report provides estimates of potential:

  • demand by size, type and tenure of dwelling
  • supply (by size, type and tenure) from the existing dwelling stock
  • shortfalls or surpluses by size, type and tenure

It also presents the issues of:

  • affordability in terms of property purchase price and household income
  • the effect of net migration on housing requirement

Jersey's Future Housing Needs 2023 to 2025 report

Previous housing needs reports

Jersey's Future Housing Needs 2019 to 2021 report

Jersey's Future Housing Needs 2016 to 2018 report 

Jersey's Housing Assessement 2013 to 2015 report

Jersey's Housing Assessement 2008 to 2012 report

Jersey's Housing Assessement 2005 to 2009 report

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